AI
The AI plateau is mostly a goalpost that keeps moving
Old benchmarks maxed out and the AGI goalposts keep moving, so the AI plateau is mostly an illusion while frontier capability keeps climbing.
#scaling
3 stories tagged scaling.
Research
AI capability stopped slowing down. It sped up after 2024
Capability is improving about 15.5 ECI a year, and the rate rose after early 2024. The expected AI plateau never arrived.
Research
The scaling curve nobody wants to extrapolate
Training compute for frontier models has grown about 5 times a year since 2020. The scatter looks clean, but every data point sits to the left of the real question.