AI
The AI plateau is mostly a goalpost that keeps moving
An AI plateau is mostly an illusion: old benchmarks maxed out and the AGI goalposts keep moving, even as the frontier capability curve keeps climbing.
#scaling
3 stories tagged scaling.
Research
AI capability stopped slowing down. It sped up after 2024
Model capability is improving about 15.5 ECI a year and the rate rose after early 2024. The expected plateau never arrived, which complicates every roadmap built around one.
Research
The scaling curve nobody wants to extrapolate
Training compute for frontier models has grown about 5 times a year since 2020. The scatter looks clean, but every data point sits to the left of the real question.