Tag

#frontier-ai

2 stories tagged frontier-ai.

Line chart of model capability over time bending upward after 2024, showing acceleration rather than a plateau

AI capability stopped slowing down. It sped up after 2024

Model capability is improving about 15.5 ECI a year and the rate rose after early 2024. The expected plateau never arrived, which complicates every roadmap built around one.

Lars Cornelissen · May 31, 2026

Line chart of cumulative AI compute stock growing about 3.4 times per year from 2022 to 2025

Business

The bill for frontier AI is now measured in gigawatts

Frontier AI spending has shifted from clever algorithms to power and concrete. A single gigawatt data center now costs about 30 billion dollars to build.

Lars Cornelissen · May 31, 2026