AI
The AI plateau is mostly a goalpost that keeps moving
An AI plateau is mostly an illusion: old benchmarks maxed out and the AGI goalposts keep moving, even as the frontier capability curve keeps climbing.
3 stories tagged frontier-ai.
An AI plateau is mostly an illusion: old benchmarks maxed out and the AGI goalposts keep moving, even as the frontier capability curve keeps climbing.
Model capability is improving about 15.5 ECI a year and the rate rose after early 2024. The expected plateau never arrived, which complicates every roadmap built around one.
Frontier AI spending has shifted from clever algorithms to power and concrete. A single gigawatt data center now costs about 30 billion dollars to build.